No
January 30, 2022
Iowa women’s basketball has potential.
The Hawkeyes (arguably) have the National Player of the Year in sophomore point guard Caitlin Clark, senior center Monika Czinano making 64.6 percent of her shots, and all five returning starters.
Still, I don’t think that’s enough for Iowa to make it to the Final Four in Minneapolis this season.
Iowa started the season No. 9 in the nation — the highest preseason ranking for the Hawkeyes in program history. Since then, the Hawkeyes have fallen out of the Associated Press Top 25 Poll and jumped back in, hovering between No. 20 and No. 25 in the nation.
Iowa lost to teams it easily should’ve beaten — including mid-major opponent Indiana University-Purdue University Indianapolis. IUPUI erased a 17-point halftime Iowa lead to take the victory in the final seconds, 75-74, on Dec. 21, 2021.
A Final Four team wouldn’t lose to a mid-major opponent. Ever.
Now, the Hawkeyes are on a seven-game winning streak against Big Ten opponents. But all of Iowa’s opponents in this stretch are unranked teams that the ranked Hawkeyes should be beating.
Iowa hasn’t had a chance to prove itself with a statement win yet this season, partly because of scheduling issues. The Hawkeyes were supposed to play No. 6 Indiana, who is undefeated in the Big Ten, on Jan. 23. The Hoosiers pulled out of the game because of COVID-19 cases in their program.
The Hawkeyes are currently a No. 6 seed in ESPN’s Women’s College Basketball NCAA Bracketology. Analyst Charlie Creme has Iowa in UConn’s region, giving the Huskies and the Hawkeyes a Sweet 16 rematch in the second round.
Even if Iowa could get past Paige Bueckers-less UConn, the Hawkeyes will be stopped in the Sweet 16 or Elite Eight.