At 11-0 for the first time in program history, Iowa be trying to finish the regular season undefeated Friday.
The Hawks and Huskers are two teams familiar with each other, with the Huskers owning a 29-13-3 series record against the Hawkeyes. How will this year’s matchup turn out? A look at the numbers is telling.
Time of Possession: Iowa 32:58, Nebraska 31:31
Iowa’s ability to sustain drives and put up points on the board at a consistent clip has been one of its biggest strengths in 2015, and Friday against Nebraska will likely follow a similar pattern.
Averaging nearly 33 minutes of possession per game, Iowa ranks in the top 20 nationally in time of possession and is fourth highest in the Big Ten. The Huskers clock in around 31.5 minutes a game, a respectable number, no doubt.
These are two teams that like to control the pace and keep possession of the ball as much as possible. It’s going to come down to which of the two can convert and make the most of those opportunities.
Speaking of which …
Red Zone Efficiency: Nebraska 91.1 percent, Iowa 87.5 percent
The Huskers, despite a poor record, are remarkably similar to the Hawkeyes in a number of offensive categories.
Big Red has scored in 41 of 45 red-zone appearances, with Iowa right behind them at 42 of 48. The key difference will be how those points come.
The Hawks have a slight edge in red-zone touchdowns, with 34 compared with Nebraska’s 32. What’s more, a staggering 28 of Iowa’s red-zone touchdowns have come on the ground, compared to only 15 for the Huskers.
Turnover Margin: Iowa plus-11, Nebraska minus-10
One key area of the game in which Iowa has an unbelievably huge advantage is turnover margin. Being mistake-free has served Iowa well and has made an enormous difference.
The opposite has killed Nebraska.
Only the bottom-feeding Maryland Terrapins have a worse turnover margin in the Big Ten than Nebraska, which has coughed up an astounding 17 picks and five fumbles.
Desmond King has one more shot to break the Iowa single-season interceptions record before postseason play, and he should have a good shot at doing so.
Husker quarterback Tommy Armstrong Jr. has thrown 12 picks, the worst in the Big Ten. The junior is tied with Maryland quarterback Perry Hills, whom King intercepted and returned 88 yards for a touchdown on Halloween.
Opponents’ fourth-down conversion rate: Iowa 57.1%, Nebraska 34.8%
It’s almost comical given how good the Hawks have been in almost every other aspect of the defense this season, but they have struggled mightily at stopping opponents on fourth down.
After allowing 50 percent of opponents’ fourth-downs to be converted in September and 33 percent in October, the Hawkeyes have allowed fourth-down conversions at a staggering 70 percent in November.
The Huskers, on the other hand, are the conferences’ third-stingiest defense on fourth down.